SGP Correlation Calculator
Estimate whether the correlation premium on Same Game Parlays is fair
Understanding SGP Correlation
Same Game Parlays (SGPs) combine multiple bets from the same game into one parlay. Unlike traditional parlays, the outcomes are often correlated, meaning one result influences the probability of another.
Positive correlation example: A QB throwing for 300+ yards and a WR on that team getting 80+ receiving yards. If the QB is slinging, the WR is more likely to benefit.
Negative correlation example: A team winning and the opposing QB throwing for 300+ yards. These outcomes work against each other.
P_adj = P1 × P2 + r × sqrt(P1(1-P1) × P2(1-P2))
Sportsbooks apply their own correlation adjustments and often add extra margin. This calculator helps you determine if their pricing is fair relative to your correlation estimate.
DFS Community + Tools
Want an Edge Beyond the Models?
RunPureSports brings together the top professional DFS players in the industry. Get direct access to their advice in our exclusive Discord community.
Chat directly with the pros:
- Statsational, JBCJBCJBC, Big T, 3rd_and_Schlong, Wiley, JSurab
- Advanced DFS tools across all major sports
- SaberSim subscription to build lineups like the pros
Track real-time odds, compare lines across sportsbooks, and find prop edges with Sharp App's professional-grade tools. The perfect companion for everything you learn in this course.
Explore Sharp App