The Sportsbooks Have a Pricing Secret.
Stop guessing. Start knowing what the pros know. Built by Statsational—a former Wall Street FX Trader and 11-year sports betting professional—this is the institutional framework that turns the tables on the books.
What the Pros Know (And the Books Don't Want You to Learn)
Most bettors lose because they treat sports like a game of luck. On Wall Street, we treat markets as games of probability and price. The player prop market is no different—it is an inefficient market waiting to be exploited by those with the right tools.
The Math
Pros don't guess—they model. Learn the distributions (Poisson, Binomial, Normal) that reveal true probability.
The Edge
The sportsbooks price props to make money. Pros price them to find value. Learn to spot the gap.
The Rigor
Bankroll management isn't optional—it's survival. Use the same risk frameworks Wall Street traders rely on.
From the Trading Floor to the Sportsbook.
I spent years on Wall Street as an FX Trader, where pricing risk wasn't optional—it was survival. For the last 11 years, I've been a professional sports bettor, applying those same institutional frameworks to beat the sportsbooks at their own game.
I'm Statsational, and I built this site—and the book—to give you the secret the pros have been using: how to price props like a market maker, not a gambler.
With 91 lessons, 18 professional tools, and zero hype, this is the resource I wish I had when I started.
Professional Tools. Zero Cost.
The same calculators pros use to find edges the sportsbooks miss.
Market Models
- Poisson Distribution
- Normal Distribution
- VMR Analyzer
- Distribution Selector
- Negative Binomial
Risk Engines
- Kelly Criterion
- Break-Even Calculator
- Expected Value
- Vig Calculator
- Sample Size Calculator
Advanced Execution
- SGP Correlation
- CLV Tracker
- Line Shopping
- Market Scorecard
- Live Betting Tool
A Masterclass in Prop Betting.
From beginner to market originator—learn the framework that separates pros from the crowd.
Phase 1
Foundations
- Why Props Are Beatable
- Prop Betting Fundamentals
- Types of Prop Bets
- Probability & Expected Value
- Bankroll Management
Phase 2
Statistical Foundations
- Variance & Standard Deviation
- The Normal Distribution
- The Poisson Distribution
- Negative Binomial
- Selecting the Right Distribution
Phase 3
Practical Application
- Correlation & SGPs
- Closing Line Value
- Line Shopping
- Live Betting Props
Not sure where to start?
Take the 2-minute assessment and get your personalized Edge Report—plus the free Wall Street Trader's Prop Betting Checklist.
Take the Assessment