Prop Market Scorecard
Grade a prop market before you bet
How much can you bet? (Tiny limits → High limits)
Do you know more than the book? (Book has edge → You have edge)
How well does your model fit? (Poor fit → Excellent fit)
How sharp is the line? (Very sharp → Very soft)
How fast does it move? (Instant → Slow)
How volatile is the outcome? (Very volatile → Very consistent)
Understanding the Scorecard
This scorecard helps you systematically evaluate a prop market before placing a bet. Instead of gut-feel decisions, you rate six key factors that determine whether a market is worth your time and money.
Information Asymmetry and Model Reliability are weighted 2× because they represent your actual edge. Without an edge, no market conditions matter. The other factors (liquidity, efficiency, line speed, and variance) affect how effectively you can exploit that edge.
Weighted Score = (Liquidity × 1) + (Info Asymmetry × 2) + (Model Reliability × 2) + (Efficiency × 1) + (Speed × 1) + (Variance × 1)
Grades range from A (32-40, elite) to F (0-7, avoid). Use the scorecard to compare markets and prioritize where to deploy your bankroll.
DFS Community + Tools
Want an Edge Beyond the Models?
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- SaberSim subscription to build lineups like the pros
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